CNBCのインスタグラム(cnbc) - 2月3日 04時02分
U.S. economic growth will recover “rapidly” and the labor market will return to full strength quicker than expected thanks to the vaccine rollout and a barrage of legislation enacted in 2020, according to a government forecast.
GDP is expected to return to its pre-pandemic size by mid-2021 and the labor force is forecast to rebound to its pre-pandemic level in 2022, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office said. Importantly, the CBO said its rosier projections do not assume any new stimulus, including President Joe Biden’s $1.9 trillion plan.
Here’s what the CBO sees for the U.S. economy:
- Real GDP to grow 3.7% in 2021
- GDP growth to average 2.6% over the next five years
- The unemployment rate to fall to 5.3% in 2021, and further to 4% between 2024 and 2025
- Inflation to rise to 2% after 2023
- The Federal Reserve to start hiking the federal funds rate in mid-2024
- Upgraded economic outlook through 2025
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