CNBCのインスタグラム(cnbc) - 8月14日 22時47分

What’s an inverted yield curve?⁠⠀
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It marks an important point on a chart where short-term investments in the U.S. Treasury bonds compensate better than long-term ones.⁠
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And it just happened.⁠
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The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note broke below the 2-year rate early this morning, which has been a reliable indicator for economic recessions in the past.⁠⠀
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A recession occurs, on average, 22 months following such an inversion, according to Credit Suisse.⁠⠀
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“The U.S. equity market is on borrowed time after the yield curve inverts,” one expert said.⁠⠀ ⁠⠀
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For more on what this could mean for the economy, visit the link in bio. (With @chartoftheday)

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jake.coloccia Even though all experts say we shouldn’t worry and to not dump our stocks? You’re attempting to predict the economy almost two years from now when we have a very unpredictable economic climate which changes constantly. I somehow doubt the accuracy of this. The data makes sense, but it would seem illogical to try and predict this economy when for the past 3 years everyone’s been predicting it would be bad but it’s otherwise. 🤷🏻‍♂️

jake.coloccia Even though all experts say we shouldn’t worry and to not dump our stocks? You’re attempting to predict the economy almost two years from now when we have a very unpredictable economic climate which changes constantly. I somehow doubt the accuracy of this. The data makes sense, but it would seem illogical to try and predict this economy when for the past 3 years everyone’s been predicting it would be bad but it’s otherwise. 🤷🏻‍♂️

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kevinrai.realtor What would be a preventable step to take here? Rate cuts won’t change anything at this point. There’s been an uptick in foreclosures in the last year but nothing to be alarmed about, yet. The outcome of the trade wars will be a top deciding factor but now it’s running into election time so what could prolong a recession?

calloftheday Didn’t we already have this debate in December? Not all inversions are end-all, be-all. With the Fed cooperating, unemployment at historic lows, 3/4 of companies beating on earnings, and a prez obsessed with stock prices (most days) I think this was oversold.

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